Final Liberal Leadership Predictions
This is largely speculation and the application of a bit of mathematical analysis based on previous convention track records
1st ballot
-----------------
33.3% - Ignatieff
20.8% - Rae
17.2% - Dion
16.4% - Kennedy
04.5% - Dryden
03.4% - Volpe
03.2% - Brison
01.2% - Findlay
2nd Ballot
---------------
36.3% - Ignatieff
23.6% - Rae
18.3% - Dion
17.3% - Kennedy
04.0% - Dryden
3rd Ballot
-----------------
37.1% - Ignatieff
24.7% - Rae
19.8% - Kennedy
18.4% - Dion
4th Ballot
----------------
43.9% - Ignatieff
29.2% - Rae
26.9% - Kennedy
5th Ballot
----------------
55.7% - Ignatieff
44.3% - Rae
Final Result - Iggy victory on the 5th ballot
3 comments:
Martha in 7.
Iggy...victory...right...
Very well thought out prediction. I offer one variation -
3rd ballot:
-----------
Ignatieff
Rae
Dion
Kennedy
4th ballot
----------
Ignatieff
Rae
Dion
I then agree with your 5th ballot call.
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